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News Briefs 09-12-2013

-15F last Wednesday — now that’s what I call a six-cat night!

Thanks to pov and RickMG.

Quote of the Day:

Gut physiology appears to have effects on what are currently presumed to be brain functions.

Professor of Biology Sarkis K. Mazmanian, here.

  1. Scorching summers? Iiieeee!
    It’s hard not to wonder sometimes that had Al Gore not put forth the movie, ‘An Inconvenient Truth’, what would life be like today?

    Oh yes, I understand that the theory of global warming has been around a lot longer, as well as predictions for sunny gloom and flooding doom that go back decades. What I am questioning, however, is whether we would have noted anything had this movie not set forth to begin the process of… forgive the term, indoctrinating us to view certain things in a certain way.

    For instance: Live in the US southwest… like Texas, Arizona or New Mexico? How about the US southeast, Florida, Georgia or Mississippi? Triple digits are not at all unusual in the late spring and summer.
    Moreover, a look at meteorological history shows that having hot summers further north are not all that unusual, either.

    So, if the general public had not been stirred by that movie and today, if they were not bombarded by the media with daily doses of climatic catastrophe, would we have ever even noticed anything being any different than it was before?

    Minus the political factor from both sides, I personally do not think the subject would stand a snowball’s chance in Southern California of surviving.

    1. I agree
      [quote=Arx]I
      So, if the general public had not been stirred by that movie and today, if they were not bombarded by the media with daily doses of climatic catastrophe, would we have ever even noticed anything being any different than it was before?
      [/quote]

      It’s another example of why I laugh at those who scoff at “conspiracy theories.” It doesn’t take many people an/or clandestine meetings to set something in motion. And once it’s in motion, as you said, everything is seen through that perspective. Those who don’t buy in are castigated.

    2. You are not alone
      [quote=Arx]It’s hard not to wonder sometimes that had Al Gore not put forth the movie, ‘An Inconvenient Truth’, what would life be like today? [/quote]

      I often think that way too. It seems like the media and the environment have become intertwined lately to the point of craziness. I did a study on this a few years back and I found that ever since that film, more and more media began churning up stories on the subject. It seems like every time the news runs out of things to report on, at least on the stations I have access to, they default to something climate based. People and climate change seems to fall into one of three categories when it comes to there “beliefs” on the subject. One is they just don’t believe it flat out, two is believe it exists but it’s not as drastic as the media portrays, and three is they are building an underground bunker in their backyard. The “warming ” part at least is actually an ongoing, dare I say, natural part of the planet’s cycle, however it is the rate at which it is warming that has increased over the years since the Industrial Era.

      I really don’t care for the hysteria films like “The Inconvenient Truth” had started, and I’m not to keen on the fact that there were scientists long before Gore saying what he was saying, but because they didn’t have the “celebrity” no one listened to them. I’m not trying to ignore the facts, I get that glaciers melting could become a problem, but c’mon. Right before Thanksgiving the media was reporting on a large storm coming along the Eastern seaboard that would disrupt travel plans. The news made it out like it was going to be another hurricane, it was all they would report on! When it finally came, while some people lost power and got flooding, we just had some minor rain, and the people that had the lost power and flooding always have that problem. It’s not just climate that the media throws out of proportion anymore, it’s everything! And once they get a subject they latch onto it like leeches and suck it dry and then just hop off onto the next subject that passes by.

      1. Beliefs are . . beliefs .
        [quote=LastLoup]People and climate change seems to fall into one of three categories when it comes to there “beliefs” on the subject. One is they just don’t believe it flat out, two is believe it exists but it’s not as drastic as the media portrays, and three is they are building an underground bunker in their backyard. The “warming ” part at least is actually an ongoing, dare I say, natural part of the planet’s cycle, however it is the rate at which it is warming that has increased over the years since the Industrial Era.
        [/quote]

        It’s interesting to me that you posit some of the beliefs involved but then follow with a statement as if your beliefs on the situation are the actuality. There are (of course castigated by the mainstream) scientists who conclude that there is no significant increase in the rate.

        My belief is close to yours – that it’s a natural cycle that, to whatever degree, may be exacerbated by human tech.

        1. So glad to see
          So glad to see that you guys agree with the balanced approach the posted article took…

          “The results of this study are based on statistical relationships; thus, [a] cause-and-effect [relationship] cannot be definitively identified,” Francis said. “That said, the relationships we reveal are consistent with expectations and with the results of other recent studies, providing confidence that Arctic changes are contributing to increasing extreme weather events in midlatitudes.”

          Scientific opinion is still divided on whether the rollicking jet stream is truly linked to climate change or may simply be the result of natural variability, according to a commentary also published today in Nature Climate Change by James Overland, a climate scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association’s Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle. Part of the problem comes from the paucity of data, because scientists have only 30 years of Arctic observations to use in their analysis.

          “Skeptics remain unconvinced that Arctic/midlatitude linkages are proven, and this work will do little to change their viewpoint,” Overland wrote. “There is insufficient data to formally resolve the debate on whether these events are purely random or if their occurrence is enhanced by Arctic changes.”

          … but I was disappointed that you neglected to discuss the main topic — the jet stream.

          Of course, in order to effectively post about the jet stream, you’ll probably want to look up some facts, or at least some evidence, about how it works, because (to coin a phrase) a lot of people who read the Daily Grail don’t put much faith in belief.

          1. Beliefs .
            [quote=Kat] because (to coin a phrase) a lot of people who read the Daily Grail don’t put much faith in belief.[/quote]

            They put as much faith in their beliefs as anyone else. It’s just a different set of beliefs. The thing is that many people whose beliefs are supported by prevailing paradigms don’t even realize that they are beliefs. Hence the many versions “I use science not beliefs” all of which usually make me chuckle.

            An aside is that, sometimes in discourses on this topic, I’ll point out how often things in the sciences that were once held to be correct are then claimed to be incorrect. Believers respond by stating that such “self-correction” is part of what makes “science” great. Which also makes me chuckle. In this case because it misses the point. That point being that – at any moment – we don’t what that is currently held will be self-corrected.

            There may be a way for humans to devise some methodology that isn’t rooted in beliefs but I don’t see how.

  2. One last word…
    If I may, one last observation on the subject of the theory of Global Warming…

    The Atlantic hurricanes have been almost nonexistent over the last half-dozen years. I mean this comparatively to seasons that once brought hellraisers like Camille, Andrew and of course, Katrina.

    If my understanding is correct (and please do not hesitate to correct me), hurricanes are the planet’s way of dissipating heat from the oceans and seas.
    On the flip, tornadoes are created by combination weather fronts that overlap with the spin created by those motions.

    If global warming was happening, I would expect the seas/oceans to be tossing out a lot more heat and thus creating more tropical storms and hurricanes.

    NOTE: Yes, we do see the Pacific spinning them up but the Atlantic has been relatively docile.

    If there was more in the Atlantic hurricane season to review over the last few years, and combined with the Pacific, I might be more inclined to consider the Global Warming scenario.

    In fact, if it were playing out as it should, there should be less tornadoes (less cold coming from the north to combine with warmth from the gulf) and more storms over the seas/oceans.

  3. A few observations – arctic
    A few observations – arctic sea ice malting…

    “This study pounds another nail in the framework connecting human-caused climate change with more frequent extreme weather,” Francis said in an email interview.” Comment: studies contradict each other all the time, usually due to the built in bias of the researcher at the outset, who has an agenda they adhere too… Even his colorful language betrays his enthusiasm “pounds another nail”

    So if I understand their study correctly – the temperature differential of a cold arctic region and hot mid-latitude generates a stable linear non-wavy jet stream that maintains consistent weather patterns and temperatures, while a warmer arctic region with less temperature difference creates an undulating wavy jet stream that creates havoc with temperatures. This sounds like reductionist “science” at work yet again, over simplifying the cause and effect to one variable (warmer arctic temperatures) directly influencing the jet stream, thereby causing the heat waves and the weather extremes – neatly packaged for consumption.

    The article then to give the façade of objectivity states: “other factors, such as natural climate cycles like El Niño, COULD also contribute to the increasing numbers of devastating droughts, heat waves and bitter cold snaps plaguing the midlatitudes.” So other factors only “could” be contributing – another interesting use of language…the uncommitted “could” is used when identifying other factors, but when delineating the damage caused by their chosen cause – a warming arctic, they state :”DEVASTATING droughts, heat waves, BITTER cold snaps PLAGUING” all powerful adjectives designed to elicit an emotional response from the reader.

    I guess prior to the last 50 – 100 years of man-made global warming due to arctic ice melting the midlatitudes were a veritable garden of eden that never suffered heat waves, cold snaps or droughts…oh wait a minute…

    The media is complicit in perpetuating the bias for two reasons: either they are sympathetic to the agenda, or they are simply lazy journalists repeating the press releases without any skeptical inquiry or research of their own, and failure to provide a balanced opinion. Many journalist are simply the latter, while many of course are the prior.

    Last observation: Al Gore is hardly an environmental crusader, rather perhaps he is the greatest carnival showman and hypocrite of the environmental movement. Climate change is the politician-with-an-agenda’s dream come true – because whatever the current crisis: heat, cold, flood, drought, tornado, hurricane, algae blooms in the ocean, animal and fish die-offs, etc…climate change can be blamed and they can further their political agendas with abandon.

    In Al Gore’s case, his film only increased his celebrity and provided the avenues by which he would increase his net worth to nearly $200,000,000 by all accounts, due to $175,000 speaking fees, profits from books, etc. enabling investments to grow his wealth further. I’m a capitalist, so hats off to Al, however let’s see him for what he is. He was one of the least wealthy candidates during his presidential bid, now he is extremely wealthy by reinventing himself from a failed presidential candidate to environmental crusader superman…oh and his carbon footprint is that of a small city…

    1. Inconvenient Truth
      [quote=Greg H.]In Al Gore’s case, his film only increased his celebrity and provided the avenues by which he would increase his net worth to nearly $200,000,000 by all accounts, due to $175,000 speaking fees, profits from books, etc. enabling investments to grow his wealth further. I’m a capitalist, so hats off to Al, however let’s see him for what he is. He was one of the least wealthy candidates during his presidential bid, now he is extremely wealthy by reinventing himself from a failed presidential candidate to environmental crusader superman…oh and his carbon footprint is that of a small city…[/quote]

    1. cat lady
      15F is 30 degrees F warmer than 15F.

      No, it’s not an apartment number either. And the semi-official cat lady (the feral cat associations’ designated feeder) lives across the parking lot from me.

      I guess most of our readers would have to be a couple of decades older than they are, to remember Three Dog Night. Here’s Shambala for you. 😉

      Edit for better version: Shambala plus video of ‘Lotus Journey’ through the Himalayas in 2006. With lyrics, so you can really enjoy it!

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