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News Briefs 26-11-2007

Tired of that leftover turkey? How about some irony or pwnage for dessert?

Quote of the Day:

A science is said to be useful if its development tends to accentuate the existing inequalities in the distribution of wealth, or more directly promotes the destruction of human life…

G. H. Hardy, A mathematician’s apology, 1941.

  1. Temples of the Humankind
    If you want to explore these astounding temples further, you should follow this link:

    http://www.thetemples.org/

    I first learned about Damanhur about 3-4 years ago, when investigating some rumours regarding Friendship Island of Chile. These people are the very embodiment of determination, it is a wonderful example of what a group can accomplish with a vision and the hard work to make it come true. Can you imagine it all started with a group of people working with hand tools, slowly gaining more space to the core of the mountain with each passing year?

    And it also shows the italian authorities are not as intollerant as one might think. If this were done in Mexico, they would have either blown the whole thing, blocked the entrance or expropriate it!.

    —–
    It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
    It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

    Red Pill Junkie

  2. Talk about irony
    The Chinese are a bit special.

    They really believe they are the cosmic center of the planet.

    Don’t worry, it just ain’t so.

    They are worried about outsourcing high-tech? They really are on a one-way track. Too bad that Western greed is too shortsighted to see all the implications, but anyway, got to be the demands of the overall plan for the planet.

    Anyone who has dealt with the Chinese would know that they don’t care about win win deals but always will do so that they win, period.

    If you have plans to do something in there, all they care about is to get the technology and do it themselves, at slave labor cost of course.

    They will rip off whatever they can and really could not give to whom if their so called partners lose in the process.

    The bubble of bubbles totally self centered. At the same time, even though they progress at an incredible pace due to current world conditions, their cultural paradigm is dead. Were it not, they would not fear the influence of the West and would have no need to filter information from the ‘outside world’.

    1. IMHO
      In their arrogance, they think they have learned from the Soviet Union’s failed attempt to become a economic powerhouse while still maintaining their communist hold over their people. Granted, they are walking that tight rope far better than the Russians managed. But in the end, capitalism and the freedom it requires is simply not compatible with communism. It’s quite possible that China will end up the dominate Superpower of this century, but it won’t be with their current form of government. They will eventually have to squash the emerging freedom their economy produces, thus destroying their economic momentum, or the government will implode just as the Soviet Union’s did.

      1. I agree with you both
        They are in quite a conundrum, they want to have top professionals in science and engineering fields, but at the same time limmit and patrol the websites their citizens visit on the Internet.

        Couple that with a total disregard for the enviroment, and you have a fool-proof recipe for disaster.

        Hopefully, they will mend their ways. And the hindus and brazilians will pay attention.

        —–
        It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
        It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

        Red Pill Junkie

        1. China
          A point will come in China when the ‘peasants’ will see what the rich look like, and when that happens there will be crippling social unrest. Knowing China, it will be a very bloody affair, and their economy will take a crippling downturn, and the country will fragment.
          Personally, I don’t believe China will prove to be a great global economic power. The country has one of the most repetitive histories on Earth. Forget political fads such as communism. It rebounds between totalitarian bureaucracy and periods of fragmentation.
          If you want to know just how repetitive it is, consider the paranoid Shi Huangdi in the 3rd century BC, who locked his people in a national prison, banned religion and slaughtered intellectuals.
          Fast forward to the paranoid 20th century Mao, who locked his people in a national prison, banned religion and slaughtered intellectuals …

          I’m fanatical about moderation

          Anthony North

          1. Maybe the problem with China is….
            That it is just too damn BIG, and the government too centralized.

            If China could turn into some sort of union of autonomous regional governments, that would convene to work in union towards common goals and mantain a single language and culture, they could break their problems into smaller more manageable issues.

            But I suppose that, by now, being big in everything they can has become a symbol of national status.

            But biology teach us that, the bigger the organism, the more fragile it becomes. Just look at the dinosaurs.

            It is rather sad, because I personally believe they have a rather wonderful culture. They just need to get rid of their lousy government.

            —–
            It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
            It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

            Red Pill Junkie

          2. Too Big
            Hi Red,
            I think you’ve hit the nail on the head. I’ve been convinced for a long time that there is an absolute limit on the kind of population that is capable of reasoned government. I have a rather controversial essay on the subject here:

            http://beyondtheblog.wordpress.com/2007/05/21/democracy-by-numbers

            I guess it all fits into my philosophy that smaller is usually better.

            Reality, like time, is relative to the observer

            Anthony North


          3. Loose that grin Anthony…

            I’m serious, ok? 😉

            —–
            It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
            It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

            Red Pill Junkie

          4. A New Kind of Country
            [quote=red pill junkie]
            If China could turn into some sort of union of autonomous regional governments, that would convene to work in union towards common goals and mantain a single language and culture, they could break their problems into smaller more manageable issues.
            [/quote]

            Great idea! Sounds familiar.

            😉

  3. Mid-Season Predictions? Nope, can’t do that either.
    In weather related news that I’m sure Kat would’ve linked to but just didn’t notice…

    Hurricane Predictions Miss the Mark

    A quite amusing article and one that I, humbly, predicted. The excuses are quite laughable, especially the part about how they still claim to have an excellent track record. Missing from the article: blaming man-made global warming for their inability to predict the weather only few weeks in advance, blaming Bush-Cheney, and blaming gas-guzzling, stupid (yet diabolically brilliant) Americans. Also missing were the requisite assurances that the predictions of a dead Earth in fifty years due to global warming are still right on the money.

    1. Techno gorilla
      We’ve got to be very careful in what we think of gorillas using ‘weapons’ or tools. Don’t think this is, in any way, suggestive of intelligence, as in humans.
      Many animals use the world around them in techonlogical ways. The idea that intelligence comes in being a ‘tool-user’ is nothing more than a soundbite. The defining point is when a species picks up something from the environment, fashions it to a purpose, and has the foresight to keep it for future use.
      THAT is the difference.

      Wise people usually begin as stupid ones

      Anthony North

      1. Last Night
        There was a great show on the National Geographic Channel about a Chimp attack on some humans in Sierra Leone a few years back. The tool-aided escape from their enclosure was rather impressive.

    2. Kat Predictions Miss the Mark 😉
      >>In weather related news that I’m sure Kat would’ve linked to but just didn’t notice…

      No, I didn’t notice this particular article, which was only published in 7 South Florida news outlets. But (to read between the lines of dripping sarcasm) you’re right — even if I had noticed, I wouldn’t have linked to it because…

      1. I was trying for a change of pace today…

      2. …whilst trying to keep the total number of links down to a reasonably readable number.

      3. It’s old news…

      4. …which others have already covered more accurately.

      Case in point — which your post has inspired me to add to today’s links:

      The Calm After the Storms: Hurricane Season 2007

      Excerpt:

      “…As popular discourse would have it, the season has been a very mild one — our second consecutive reprieve after the active, Florida-centric season of 2004and the hyperactive, historic, mind-bogglingly devastating season of 2005.

      “However, by the most widely used and commonly quoted measure of hurricane season strength — the total number of storms — that popular discourse is wrong. In the average Atlantic hurricane season, there are 11 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

      “Thus far, 2007 has seen 14 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricanes — one of which, Hurricane Dean, was the third-most intense major hurricane ever recorded at landfall in the Atlantic basin. This season also set several records for rapid intensification, and was just the fourth season ever to witness two Category Five hurricanes (Dean and Felix), as well as the first ever in which two hurricanes made landfall while at Cat. 5 status.

      “With regard to those 14 named storms, some weatherbloggers and other commentators have accused the National Hurricane Center of “count-padding,” suggesting that they may have been overeager to designate a few borderline systems that in past years would not have been given a name. Even if this is correct, however, the “true” named-storm count would probably hover right around 11, making 2007 a thoroughly average — not significantly below-average, certainly not drastically weak — hurricane season, by that measure.
      […]

      “Some observers see a more sinister explanation for the seasonal forecasts, believing they are part of a campaign by agenda-driven scientists to hype the global-warming threat. If this were so, it would be a very short-sighted, risky, and ultimately counterproductive move, since the hype generated by inflated forecasts is short-lived and turns predictably into a backlash when the numbers are not borne out by reality. (This theory of agenda-driven forecasting also ignores the fact that Dr. William Gray, one of the most prominent and longstanding seasonal forecasters, is an outspoken global-warming skeptic.)”

      Cheers,
      Kat

      1. Also…
        Let’s not forget Bangladesh, which was hit pretty hard by a class 5 typhoon a couple of weeks ago.

        —–
        It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
        It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

        Red Pill Junkie

        1. Bangladesh
          Bangladesh gets hit by typhoons quite often, and the death toll is often very severe. This has been going on for centuries, if not longer. They have a serious problem with flooding, and their traditional response is, well, to do nothing.

          Or is there any water management worth mentioning in Bangladesh?

          Compare that to a place like the Netherlands, which has similar problems. Severe storm and flooding, just that these are winter storms. But these people have been working on water management for hundreds of years, and the natural problem is pretty much under control.

          —-
          If we don’t succeed, we run the risk of failure.

          (Bill Clinton, and perhaps others)

          1. C’mon you guys
            Yes, they get hit frequently by storms, but this was the worst cyclone since 1991, a death toll of 3500 at the last count, so we can say it was unusual, right? Right?

            Sheeesh… 😉

            Yes, it is very sad that the most impoverished nations will suffer more for any kind of climatic changes we will face in the years to come 🙁

            The Netherlands have acted with creativity and sense investing their resources in trying to keep floodings controlled, building the most sophisticated dams done by man. Maybe they could ask as consultors for 3rd world countries with coastal areas at risk. I know there are a couple of architects that have tried to come up with designs of houses that are cheap to build and can help in those times of stress, like in a book called “Design like you give a damn”

            —–
            It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
            It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

            Red Pill Junkie

          2. usual
            Like in many other places in the world, there are more people today in Bangladesh than there used to be. So if they get a big storm, more people die. The “badness” of the storm is typically measured in the damage it does, such as fatalities, displaced persons, and value destroyed. Not in the physical factors, such as wind strength or the height of the flood.

            —-
            If we don’t succeed, we run the risk of failure.

            (Bill Clinton, and perhaps others)

          3. Ok, but…
            You do admit that it was a big storm, right? 😉

            —–
            It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
            It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

            Red Pill Junkie

          4. big
            Yes it was big. But they should know how to deal with it. People started on methods to deal with it more than 500 years ago. This is a case where the Eastern outlook on the world is a decided disadvantage.

            —-
            If we don’t succeed, we run the risk of failure.

            (Bill Clinton, and perhaps others)

          5. No disagreements there
            [quote]This is a case where the Eastern outlook on the world is a decided disadvantage.[/quote]

            This is where the ingenuity of the west can come in handy.

            —–
            It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
            It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

            Red Pill Junkie

          6. Unusual
            [quote]so we can say it was unusual, right? Right?[/quote]

            Unusual, within the time scale of about 16 years.

            “Unusual” is very subjective. It just depends on the time period you choose to use for your comparison. So from the perspective of the Earth’s entire four billion year history with it’s own weather, I’m going to have to go with…no, not unusual.

          7. well, if you put it like that
            Then also killer asteroids hitting Earth an obliterating all the biosphere are also quite common huh? 🙂

            I’m not saying Bangladesh’s storm was proof that forecasts for 2007 hurricanes were dead accurate. We have to remember that we still suck at predicting the weather, but climate and weather are two separate things (weather can change from day to the next, whereas we can perceive some patterns in long-term climate forecasts).

            Maybe this year turned out to be somewhat milder than the previous 3, although I have to point out some parts of Tabasco are still flooded after all these weeks. But I do think we cannot afford the luxury of thinking everything is gonna be just right. We have to prepare ouselves and do plans of contingency for the most threatened coastal areas of the world. We have to help these people plan where to install their water plants and critical infra-structure, where to build their villages and how so they can widstandth these type of catastrophies.

            —–
            It’s not the depth of the rabbit hole that bugs me…
            It’s all the rabbit SH*T you stumble over on your way down!!!

            Red Pill Junkie

          8. Big Rocks
            [quote]Then also killer asteroids hitting Earth an obliterating all the biosphere are also quite common huh?[quote]

            Within the last billion years, no. The first billion, mostly likely yes (or at least more probable). See how this works?

      2. Uh Huh
        which was only published in 7 South Florida news outlets.

        Gotta love the MSM, don’t ya?

        1. I was trying for a change of pace today…

        uh huh

        2. …whilst trying to keep the total number of links down to a reasonably readable number.

        uh huh, yeah

        3. It’s old news…

        sure, uh huh.

        About two days old. The hurricane season hasn’t even officially ended yet. Yeah, real old. Unless you mean that it’s “old news” that the experts can’t predict the weather. That I agree with.

        4. …which others have already covered more accurately.

        uh huh. Yep, those other 7 Florida outlets.

        Case in point — which your post has inspired me to add to today’s links:

        Oops…sorry, no room for more links.

      3. Yep
        Despite his attpemt to obfuscate the embarrassing results of this year’s predictions (making three straight years of terrible predictions) by pointing to statistics that have nothing to do with those predictions, he did hit on some truths:

        “With regard to those 14 named storms, some weatherbloggers and other commentators have accused the National Hurricane Center of “count-padding,” suggesting that they may have been overeager to designate a few borderline systems that in past years would not have been given a name. Even if this is correct…”

        No denial because he knows that is exactly what has happened.

        “Some observers see a more sinister explanation for the seasonal forecasts, believing they are part of a campaign by agenda-driven scientists to hype the global-warming threat. If this were so, it would be a very short-sighted, risky, and ultimately counterproductive move, since the hype generated by inflated forecasts is short-lived and turns predictably into a backlash when the numbers are not borne out by reality.”

        Exaclty. He sees the damage and is sending a message to his colleagues: knock it off.

        And there are a couple of factors he didn’t mention: 1. they don’t ever want to get nailed like they did in 2005 when they under-predicted and we had a disastrous season, 2. using the “even a stopped clock is right twice a day” strategy, eventually they’ll be right on and will be able to say “see, told ya”. Neither of these is driven by science.

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